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When a virus first makes the jump from a pig/bird germ to a human germ, it is much like the birth of a baby. It will have a lot to learn before it reaches it full potential. As the baby learns new things, it will grow and barely look like it looked at birth. The baby will reach a point in its life were it will peak and then go down hill just like a professional athlete. This cycle is the same for pandemic flu germs.

The virus will learn through its mutations. Flu germs are infamous for mixing/mutating. Each virus is unique. The swine flu H1N1 has been around for just a few short months and already it has changed a lot. Keep reading this article to find out how far the virus has come. A flu pandemic can last up to three years. Use your common sense to project where the swine flu H1N1 will be a year from now. Consider how far it has come in just a few short months and you will see its true impact.

Flu germs never stop changing. In the 1918 and 1957 pandemics the second time around was much worse than when it first appeared. It made a few mutations before the second wave.

There are three things on top of the expert’s stop flu list that worry them:

1. The germ will learn how to get more contagious. (Already happened)

2. The germ will become resistant to our best antiviral drugs. (Happening)

3. The germ will mix with other germs and get more deadly.

Two out of the three concerns are virtually in the bag. The last one I believe is just a matter of time. Take this current event.

Google this article Indonesia: Eight more suspected H5N1 cases, and a possible death. A few days ago a person died in Indonesia of the bird flu. Seven other people were suspected of having the germ and had severe H5N1 bird flu symptoms. There were many dead chickens found near the person who died home. That person had cooked and served one of the infected birds to cause everyone to get sick. Now think about this scenario. It happens again but this time one out of eight people already had a mild case of the swine flu. Bang the two germs mix and presto. We have a mutated strain. This will happen in some way or another before it is over. Use your common sense. The World health Organisation says that up to two billion people will catch the germ.

It is a common concern among experts in the field that a pandemic could occur or worsen due to genetic reassortment. The swine flu virus could mix its genes with a host of other strains that could make it more deadly.

Reassortment

Flu pandemics occur when a new virus starts to spread in people who have little or no immunity. When a person is sick with the swine flu and the H5N1 flu at the same time a mixing could happen. The two germs could mix genetic code in the same cell. The new strain will have traits from both viruses maybe gaining ability it did not have before. The H5N1 germ could get the ability to spread easily from human to human. Or the swine flu could become more lethal. Reassortment was the reason for two major flu pandemics the H2N2 in 1957 and the H3N2 in 1968. It was a bird virus and a human virus.

The bird flu H5N1 strain in Asia is more entrenched than any other in history as measured by its affect on the area. Over 100 million poultry have been killed to slow down the germs spread.

The World Health Organization is looking for signs that the swine flu has mixed with the bird flu. Not only the H5N1 virus but mixing with any flu virus could make it worse.

The WHO is watching how the swine flu is changing in the south part of the globe which is their normal flu season. The question is will it reassort with the normal flu. Indonesia has the largest number of deaths from bird flu than all other countries in the world. Indonesia is in the southern half of the world. H5N1 is all over the place. People/pigs catch the germ a lot. Can the swine flu spread to millions of people/pigs in this region and not mix? Remember, the swine flu could be around for up to 3 years meeting up with other flu germs.

The Germ Is Even More Contagious NOW! The first sign of the H1N1 virus was in April, in 3 short months it has all ready mutated so that it can spread to more people. It learned by infecting millions of people.

Before the 1800's there were less than a billion people on earth with slow ways to travel, germs could stay away from each other. Today, there are over 6.8 billion people on earth with fast ways to travel. Flu germs are infamous for mutating with other germs.

Experts say that New York alone could have 500,000 people who caught the virus. And the U.S. could have over 1 million people who have all ready caught the germ. Many people at this time have little or no signs of the flu. So they do not go to the hospital to get a test.

Britain predicts they will get 100,000 swine flu cases a day by the end of August. German experts warn of swine flu mutation problems. They think the H1N1 swine flu virus has started to mutate. And they warned that these mutations could cause the germ to be more aggressive in the fall.

Our Number One Antiviral Drug is Fading
Tamiflu is our number one antiviral drug to stop the flu. In the past few weeks, there have been Tamiflu resistant cases reported in Denmark, Japan, Brazil, and Hong Kong. One of the cases involved some one from San Francisco. You do not have to be a genius to predict that soon tamiflu will be all but useless.

Pandemics evolve when infected host meet. The more contacts in the pool of host the greater the chances of a virus mutating. The best hosts are poultry, humans, and pigs. All three can carry/pass the germ. In 1968, the pandemic started in China and at that time, there were 790 million humans, 5.2 million pigs and 12.3 million birds. Since, then there are 500 million more people in china, 500 million more pigs, and over 12 billion more poultry. This trend is about the same all over Asia/world. This makes a huge mixing bowl for viruses. The H1 flu virus does not need a huge number of hosts to mutate. But, the more host with the virus the more chance the germ will change to be more lethal. Add that truth with the huge growth in travel over the past 50 years to see the swine flu mixing with many other viruses.

You can catch the swine flu up to 7 or more days after a sick person catches it. In other words, if they still show signs of the flu you can catch it from them. There are no set numbers of days a sick person will stop spreading the germ. If you are in quarantine, do not leave until you show no signs of the flu. The 1918 flu had an incubation period of 5 days. This extra time the H1N1 germ has helps it spread more. Also, many people will get the germ and not know they have it, which means it will spread even more. The more it spreads means it has a better chance to infect someone already sick with a different virus.

Swine Flu Spreads to Pigs

Scientists in Germany have found that the swine flu can spread to hogs. Experts at Germany’s national animal health research lab put pigs infected with the swine flu H1N1 with other pigs. They found that three days later the swine flu H1N1 spread to all the pigs.

You have read above about how pigs are great host to spread and mix germs. These germs can easily be transferred back to humans after it mixes from whatever source. The big problem is there are many pigs in Indonesia that have the bird flu H5N1 germ. See H5N1 Confirmed in Swine in Indonesia. Indonesia by the way is in the southern hemisphere where the swine flu is spreading quickly.
We are talking about a super contagious swine flu infecting people/pigs in huge numbers. Add that to the fact that the bird flu is endemic in the area. This increases the chances that the H5N1 or any other flu virus like the H7 strain will meet with the H1N1 and mutate to a much more deadly form.

Given the present swine flu situation plus recent pandemic history and using common sense, I believe the swine flu without question will be one of the biggest tests for people in human history.

I Refuse To SUGARCOAT The Situation! I see too many people walking around like everything is normal. Believe me, it is not. This could get very serious. You need to look yourself in the mirror and ask the question. What happens if this is a major event and my family has to go through major pain including death if I do not act now? People need to get their heads out of the sand and realize this could get very serious in just a few weeks from now!