Our swine flu could be a CHIP OFF THE OLD BLOCK of the 1918 Spanish flu. That record-breaking flu killed up to fifty to a hundred million people.
We are learning more about how to beat the flu/ (swine). Our experts break a flu gene down through sequencing. We are able to see changes within a gene that cause problems’
The 1918 Spanish flu is the mother of the 1957, 1968 and our present swine flu pandemic. If you add all the deaths of the 1957 and 1968 outbreaks, they equal three million. These two outbreaks were much milder than the mother was in 1918.
All pandemics are unique. No child looks exactly like the parents. However, there are some eerie things that both have in common. Notice the similar traits below:
1. They both spread fast with high illness rates but normal deaths rates in the first wave.
2. The 1918 Spanish flu had much higher severe/fatal rates in its last two waves.
3. In both waves of the swine flu and all waves in 1918, the flu was mostly mild. > 95% of sick people had mild cases.
4. The last two waves of the Spanish flu had more severe and fatal cases. I think our third/fourth waves will have more severe/fatal cases.
5. The D225G mutation is going to change things. It will likely make our third/fourth wave severe/fatal.
6. The 1918 flu like our swine flu prefers the young. Many of the young pass away due to a cytokine storm. Their strong immune system works against them. Too much blood goes to the lungs to fight the germ causing the lungs to get flooded.
7. The D225G mutation was also in the swine flu in the US early on in April but was mild.
8. The D225G now has nearly a 100% death rate.
1. The percentage of the H1N1 flu that is D225G will decide how deadly the virus will be.
9. The 1918 outbreak had three waves in one year, which is very unusual. The next swine flu H1N1 wave will be our third one this year.
10. Many experts predict the third swine flu wave to start in a few weeks.
D225G was also present in the 1918 outbreak. I believe it starts out mild but mutates to a more severe form. In 1918, many experts thought that another virus came along to cause all the severe/fatal causes; I believe it was the D225G mutation evolving. The D225G mutation now has close to 100% death rate. These cases are popping up all over the world.
History could easily look back on the swine flu with regret. It could read something like the next few lines. Sadly, when the third or fourth flu wave hit, most people were not prepared. The swine flu was much different from before. Ninety-five percent of the flu cases were mild, but there were many severe/fatal cases. The death rate was > 1.5%. There were up to fifty million to a hundred million people who passed away.
I hope that I am wrong. However, when I look at the facts, the above statements seem to fit.
There are people/public officials, flu experts, etc. who thinks the pandemic is over. Believe me that is just wishful thinking. Most experts know the worst is probably yet to come. There are badly informed people/groups that care mainly about their own agendas.
Granted, this is the way of the world. However, in the final analysis, is this the best way to handle a major problem? I do not think so. In general, people/politicians will sugarcoat the problem. Is that really helping people who need to plan for the problem?
Do not panic the people but let them know a train is coming. And that train is likely coming down the tracks that they are standing on! If people do not have the facts, how can they make a smart decision?
Look at recent events:
1. Two weeks ago, there was a jump in severe/fatal cases at La Bonheur Children’s Medical Center in Memphis Tennessee. Out of 17 patients, seven went to intensive care (ICU). That is a ratio of 7/17 or 41% had to go to ICU. That is a very high rate. Two of the seven died which is a 29% death rate. If you compare that to what happened in the fall, you see a big jump in percentages. In the fall, there were thousands of sick people looking for help. 340 became patients; 30-40 went to ICU. About 10 % or 3 children died. Clearly, the percentage of severe/fatal cases is going up. See the table below to compare numbers.
| Fall | Now |
| Thousands of sick people | Only a small # since Jan. |
| 340 became patients | 17 patients |
| 30-40 went to ICU 10.29% | 7 went to ICU 41% |
| 3 out of 35 died 8.5% | 2 out of 7 died or 29% |
1. Two weeks ago a head of state in Romania said the swine flu fatality rate was higher. The rate grew from 0.1% to 1.32% in six weeks. This number could go up even more.
Please excuse the cold-blooded use of these numbers to describe the flu’s potential danger. I will define a case fatality rate (CFR). Plus an Attack Rate (AT) so you can understand what these numbers mean.
The Case Fatality Rate grew to 1.32%. Those numbers sounds small but wait. It means the percentage of people who die of a germ.
The Attack Rate is the percentage of people in an area that catch the germ. The attack rate (AT) could be for the season or for the total pandemic. A pandemic that last two or more years could have an attack rate of 15 to 25% per wave. It is common for 50% or more of the population to catch a flu virus. The attack rate for the swine flu + the D225G/N mutation in Romania has grown from 15 to 20% to 25%.
If 1.32% was the CFR all over the world, see the table below to calculate a possible death count.
The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) (X) the Attack Rate (AT) (X) Population = # of deaths
This would be the approximate death rate in the US with 1.32% CFR. I am sure you will agree these numbers are huge no matter what happens.
| | (CFR) | (AT) | population | # of deaths |
| US | 1.32% | 50% | 310 Million | Approx 2.0 Million |
| US | 1.32% | 30% | 310 Million | Approx 1.2 Million |
| World | 1.32% | 50% | 6.8 Billion | Approx 45 Million |
| World | 1.32% | 30% | 6.8 Billion | Approx 27 Million |
It is hard to get countries to agree on how many people died from swine flu. Politics may play a role. Some countries may not want to give the real number of deaths. And some countries may not have the means or the desire to find if a person died from swine flu. Death could be from the swine flu or another problem. Many times the flu may be a trigger that starts the death cycle. But something else may have killed the person.
People with underlying health problems have a much higher risk of severe/fatal problems. These patients include people with asthma, diabetes, problems with the immune system and others.
Most people do not die directly from the flu. Unless it comes from a cytokine storm that floods the lungs with excess blood. This creates a link to the D225G mutation. It spreads deep in the lungs to cause problems. Or it could come from pneumonia. But other wise, people die due to putting excess stress on key body organs.
Therefore, the flu becomes the secondary reason for the death not the main reason. Doctors could report a patient died of a heart attack, a stroke, or bacterial infection. Since this would be instead of the swine flu, the CFR would be off. However, this will give you numbers to work with.
Do not be fooled by the reports that the pandemic is over. History shows this virus can go from mild to very deadly in only a few months.
Get a free How to Avoid the Swine Flu Manual. It is a 165 pages interactive/multimedia E-Book manual. This guide is the easiest and quickest way to learn how to avoid the swine flu. It also, helps you break your bad safety habits. Call 719-237-1167 for your free swine flu manual today!
Every few days there is more and more evidence showing the swine flu is getting more dangerous. Go to Google and search D225G.
If you do some research, you will feel the coming tide.
http://beforeitsnews.com/story/15053/Severe_H1N1_Cases_in_North_Carolina_Raise_Concerns.html
http://beforeitsnews.com/story/15051/D225G_N_H1N1_Linkage_by_Recombination_in_Australia_US_China.html
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